Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	HJK		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.70	6.10
	1.48	4.4	5.32	Watch
	1.47	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	4.5 (4.5)	5.54 (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
63.1%

Draw
20.3%

Gnistan
16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for HJK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Gnistan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Gnistan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, HJK is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:15 (averaging 2.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HJK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.10.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	6:0 ✺
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.10.26	Gnistan - Inter Turku	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Gnistan - TPS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1
23.08.26	HJK - Gnistan	2:3
18.04.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:3
Club Friendly
10.03.26	HJK - Gnistan	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
07.02.26	HJK - Gnistan	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.11.25	Gnistan - HJK	2:2
03.10.25	HJK - Gnistan	2:3

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