Match Info

Date: 18 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport X


	HJK		Silkeborg IF

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	3.55	3.3	2.15
	3.55	3.15	2.15
	3.59	3.29	2.16
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	3.38	3.38	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.55)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.16 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
27%

Draw
29.2%

Silkeborg IF
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.

Silkeborg IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Silkeborg IF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Silkeborg IF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.2%	42.9%	31%

HJK - Silkeborg IF Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 11 - 26.2%). Silkeborg will win (votes: 13 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 57.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Silkeborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Silkeborg will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Europa League
11.08.22	HJK - Maribor	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.08.22	Oulu - HJK	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.22	Maribor - HJK	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.07.22	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Viktoria Plzeň - HJK	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWL
- Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga
14.08.22	Viborg - Silkeborg IF	2:0 ✺
08.08.22	Silkeborg IF - Aalborg BK	3:1 ✺
31.07.22	Silkeborg IF - Brøndby	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
17.07.22	Lyngby BK - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWT

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