Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	HJK		Maribor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.8
	1.87	3.6	4.1
	1.9	3.6	3.7
	1.87	3.6	3.85
	1.9	3.67	4.22
	1.88	3.4	4.2
	1.84	3.52	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)	3.59 ↑ (3.39)	4 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
50.3%

Draw
26.2%

Maribor
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	8.6%	7.6%

HJK - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: HJK will win (88 of 105 users predict this - 83.81%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.76% – 90.86%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

HJK is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maribor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently HJK have a series of guest games.

HJK will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches HJK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.08.22	Oulu - HJK	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.22	Maribor - HJK	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.07.22	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Viktoria Plzeň - HJK	5:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.07.22	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWLW
- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
07.08.22	Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.22	Maribor - HJK	0:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
31.07.22	Koper - Maribor	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Maribor	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
23.07.22	Maribor - Gorica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
04.08.22	Maribor - HJK	0:2

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