The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HJK 68.2%
Draw 17.3%
KuPS 14.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.4%
25.1%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
22.8%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.
KuPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
HJK - KuPS Predictions
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Laihanen A. (G) 30. Bethea L. 5. Gronlund J. 17. Holmstrom I. 71. Kamogawa M. 2. Karvonen N. 27. Kiviranta M. 13. Lassas M. (C) 9. Sarelius K. 44. Tivnan J. 10. Topra J.
22. Arpiainen E. (G) 3. Beal R. M. 14. Hahl N. 23. Juusela N. 4. Laaksonen S. 2. Leiwo S. 24. Makipelkola E. 27. Perkaus H. 11. Pulkkanen A. 7. Rochi G. (C) 18. Ukkonen P.
Substitutes
25. Forsstrom S. (G) 15. Forsten A. 11. Heroum N. 3. Lahikainen A. 7. Rantanen A. 4. Sarelius U. 16. Sarkki J. 8. Suomela R. 18. Ylatalo I.
20. Harmaala A. 12. Hautamaki N. (G) 13. Kauppila A.-M. 5. Kouva S. 6. Paavilainen L. 30. Spenazzatto L. 16. Viinikka T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Ukkonen P. 🟨,
59', Sarelius K. ↓, Ylatalo I. ↑,
63', Pulkkanen A. ↓, Spenazzatto L. ↑,
70', Ukkonen P. ↓, Kouva S. ↑,
76', Holmstrom I. ↓, Forsten A. ↑,
76', Kamogawa M. ↓, Rantanen A. ↑,
76', Beal R. M. ↓, Paavilainen L. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Rochi G. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Karvonen N. ↓, Heroum N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 3.
HJK has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
KuPS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, HJK has had a series of away games.
In this match, HJK is the team to beat.
We predict that HJK will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
Finland
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Laihanen A. (G) 
Bethea L. 
Kamogawa M. 
Rochi G. (C) 
Spenazzatto L. 
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