Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Poljud (Split)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Hajduk Split		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.68
	4.8	4.25	1.63
	4.5	4.15	1.65
	4.32	4.21	1.72
				Watch
	4.2	4.1	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (5.98)	4.14 ↑ (4.04)	1.67 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajduk Split
21.1%

Draw
22.7%

Villarreal
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

23.2%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

23.2%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	7.3%	74.5%

Hajduk Split - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 10 - 18.2%). Villarreal will win (votes: 41 - 74.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 63% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-4.

Recent matches Hajduk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Villarreal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hajduk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
21.08.22	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Villarreal - Hajduk Split	4:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
13.08.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
04.08.22	Hajduk Split - Vitoria Guimarães	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.08.22	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Villarreal - Hajduk Split	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.08.22	Valladolid - Villarreal	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Inter Milan - Villarreal	2:4 ✺
03.08.22	Villarreal - Levante	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Villarreal - Hajduk Split	4:2

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