Match Info

HNL - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Poljud (Split)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hajduk Split		Lokomotiva Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	7.5
	1.38	5.00	6.75
	1.3	5.15	7.8
	1.32	5.44	8.91
	1.32	5.41	8.3	Watch
	1.3	5.35	8.55
	1.32	5.59	8.83	Watch
	1.31	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	5.21 ↑ (4.56)	7.98 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajduk Split
70.5%

Draw
17.8%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.

Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Lokomotiva (4.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silic T. (G) 22. Acapandie M. 9. de Almeida D. 20. del Moral A. 32. Hrgovic S. 15. Maresic D. 4. Pajaziti A. 14. Raci R. 11. Sego M. (C) 23. Soticek M. 16. Sutalo A.	20. Cabrajic K. 28. Djurkovic N. . Karacic F. 21. Kralevski T. 19. Posavac F. 25. Smiljanic P. 10. Subotic M. 15. Thaqi D. 4. Triantafyllou A. . Vasilj J. 7. Vukovic D.
Substitutes
19. Brruti E. 99. Fesyuk D. (G) 3. Gabric R. 6. Hadzikadunic D. 38. Hodak L. 26. Huram A. 10. Livaja M. 17. Melnjak D. 7. Sanyang A. 36. Skelin M. 44. Stipica D. (G)	22. Antunovic M. 6. Fetai F. 27. Godec N. 35. Gurlica J. 8. Katic I. 16. Kayke 14. Lorber M. 26. Morina D. 30. Reic D. 32. Savatovic L. (G)
Coaches
Garcia G.	Jelavic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sego M. ⚽, Hrgovic S. (A),
21', Smiljanic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thaqi D. ↓, Kayke ↑,
46', Smiljanic P. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
46', Vasilj J. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
53', Lorber M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Soticek M. ⚽, Pajaziti A. (A),
59', Sutalo A. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
67', Karacic F. ↓, Reic D. ↑,
73', Katic I. 🟨,
73', Soticek M. ↓, Huram A. ↑,
73', Acapandie M. ↓, Hadzikadunic D. ↑,
78', Lorber M. 🟨,
81', de Almeida D. ↓, Brruti E. ↑,
81', Sego M. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
82', Vukovic D. ↓, Morina D. ↑,
82', Pajaziti A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 3.

Hajduk has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lokomotiva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hajduk is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Hajduk: Brajkovic R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lokomotiva: Belcar L. (Red Card)

We predict that Hajduk will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:27. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	9	19
7	Lok. Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Hajduk Split	2:3 AET ✺
Croatian HNL
23.08.26	Hajduk Split - Osijek	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Hajduk Split - Raków Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.08.26	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Hajduk Split - Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWW
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
21.08.26	Rudeš - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
16.05.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:1
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1
13.12.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:3
27.09.25	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0
13.04.25	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1
02.02.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split	3:2
26.10.24	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1

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