Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	09:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Colombia	07:00	ESPN
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Germany	14:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Malta	14:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play
Poland	14:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 1
Romania	15:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 1
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen, Viaplay
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	15:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	08:00	ESPN+
International	12:00	Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Valladolid		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.75	3.6	2	Watch
	4.01	3.6	2.04
	3.78	3.57	2.04	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.94	3.7	1.97	Watch
	3.75	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.51)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	2 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
25.3%

Draw
26.7%

Villarreal
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.7%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

25.4%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.3%	4.7%	86%

Valladolid - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. 3. Torres D. 22. Rosa L. 11. Moro R. 12. Martin M. 15. Comert E. 23. Anuar (C) 21. Amallah S. 7. Sylla M.	13. Conde D. (G) 17. Kiko Femenia 2. Costa L. 3. Albiol R. (C) 23. Cardona S. 11. Akhomach I. 14. Comesana S. 10. Parejo D. 16. Baena A. 15. Barry T. 19. Pepe N.
Substitutes
1. Ferreira A. (G) 35. Juma Bah A. 20. Juric S. 24. Kenedy 14. Latasa J. 18. Machis D. 9. Marcos Andre 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 19. Ndiaye A. 8. Perez K. 30. Ruiz R. C. 10. Sanchez I.	12. Bernat J. 33. Cabanes P. 55. Gomez R. (G) 18. Gueye P. 1. Junior Reis (G) 5. Kambwala W. 26. Navarro P. 22. Perez A. 21. Pino Y. 20. Terrats R.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Barry T. ⚽, Kiko Femenia (A),
45+1', Parejo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Comesana S. 🟨,
50', Sylla M. 🟨,
56', Sanchez J. 🟨,
59', Costa L. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Sylla M. (Pen),
61', Comert E. 🟨,
69', Torres D. 🟨,
70', Barry T. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
71', Comesana S. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
71', Sylla M. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
71', Martin M. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
79', Amallah S. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
82', Akhomach I. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Perez A. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
88', Comert E. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
88', Anuar ↓, Kenedy ↑,
90', Pepe N. ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
90', Baena A. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 1.

Valladolid is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Villarreal will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Valladolid: de la Hoz C. (Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Knee Injury) Moreno G. (Muscle Injury) Pedraza A. (Injury) Suarez D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Ozkacar C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Bailly E. (Injury) Kambwala W. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.24	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.10.24	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Valladolid - Mallorca	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Sevilla - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.10.24	Villarreal - Getafe	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Real Madrid - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Villarreal - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
26.09.24	Espanyol - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Villarreal - Barcelona	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.04.23	Villarreal - Valladolid	1:2
13.08.22	Valladolid - Villarreal	0:3
13.05.21	Valladolid - Villarreal	0:2
02.11.20	Villarreal - Valladolid	2:0
08.02.20	Valladolid - Villarreal	1:1
21.09.19	Villarreal - Valladolid	2:0
08.02.19	Valladolid - Villarreal	0:0

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