Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)


	Haka		Honka

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.33
	3.47	3.25	2.31
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.26	3.28	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.75)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.26 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
29%

Draw
29.7%

Honka
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Haka - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Honka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haka: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haka won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Honka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Haka have a series of guest games.

Honka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Haka won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Haka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.04.23	Haka - Oulu	2:2 ✺
05.04.23	SJK - Haka	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Ekenäs - Haka	2:4 ✺
18.03.23	KTP Kotka - Haka	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Inter Turku - Haka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLT
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.04.23	KuPS Kuopio - Honka	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Honka - SJK	0:0 ✺
05.04.23	HJK - Honka	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Hammarby - Honka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.10.22	Honka - Haka	1:1
01.09.22	Haka - Honka	2:1
07.04.22	Honka - Haka	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.22	Honka - Haka	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.10.21	Honka - Haka	0:2
30.06.21	Haka - Honka	1:1
24.06.21	Honka - Haka	2:1

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