Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Haka		Oulu

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.32	3.45	2.82
	2.42	3.58	2.92
	2.39	3.38	2.87	Watch
	2.35	3.68	2.69	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.32)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.69 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
38.8%

Draw
26.4%

Oulu
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.7%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	13.3%	53.3%

Haka - Oulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Oulu will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oulu: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hughes L. (G) 18. Mommo E. 3. Friberg N. (C) 5. Gianini Dantas N. 15. Almen M. 99. Sejdiu A. 13. Sallinen O. 19. Okyere A. 7. Da Sylva J. 11. Hudd R. 9. Akintunde J.	30. Kinn T. (G) 75. Say S. 3. Lehtonen J. 4. Jatta M. 20. Azongnitode C. 37. Paananen J. 19. Paananen A. 18. Cassama A. 14. Jokelainen N. (C) 9. Rennicks J. 22. Kaukua T.
Substitutes
24. Boamah M. 4. Houston J. 12. Lepola A. (G) 23. Lescano J. 17. Multanen K. 64. Parfitt-Williams D. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Romero E. 66. Selander R.	54. Aapajarvi A. 11. Ghezali L. 2. Holtta S. 26. Korkko J. 8. Ojala M. 12. Pentti J. (G) 5. Pitkanen M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 6. Silas C.
Coaches
Martonen K.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Okyere A. 🟨,
53', Gianini Dantas N. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Jokelainen N. ⚽, Kaukua T. (A),
63', Hudd R. ↓, Parfitt-Williams D. ↑,
63', Sejdiu A. ↓, Lescano J. ↑,
68', Rennicks J. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
69', Friberg N. 🟨,
81', Akintunde J. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
81', Da Sylva J. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
89', Kaukua T. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
90+4', Paananen J. ↓, Silas C. ↑,
90+5', Lescano J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 3.

Haka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oulu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Haka: Bulgakov D. (Injury) Gianini Dantas N. (Injury) Lindholm S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Haka: Parfitt-Williams D. (International duty)

There are questionable in Oulu: Jatta M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.09.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Oulu - Haka	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Haka - SJK	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Haka - HJK	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	FF Jaro - Haka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.09.25	FF Jaro - Oulu	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Oulu - Haka	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Gnistan - Oulu	3:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
21.08.25	HJK - Oulu	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.25	Oulu - Ilves	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.25	Oulu - Haka	3:2
19.04.25	Haka - Oulu	2:1
24.08.24	Oulu - Haka	0:1
24.05.24	Haka - Oulu	4:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
27.01.24	Oulu - Haka	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	Oulu - Haka	1:1
01.07.23	Oulu - Haka	3:0

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