Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	HJK		Honka

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5
	1.72	3.75	5	Watch
	1.73	3.8	5.29
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.7	3.72	4.9	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)	3.72 ↑ (3.1)	5.06 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
56.1%

Draw
25.3%

Honka
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

31.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

HJK - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Honka will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ost J. (G) 14. Peltola M. 4. Toivio J. 22. Raitala J. (C) 17. Bande H. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 8. Rogic F. 2. Ollila T. 7. Hostikka S. 9. Radulovic B. 18. Keskinen T.	1. Rudakov M. (G) 5. Aalto H. (C) 21. Koski V. 3. Ojala J. 20. Rale M. 24. Banahene N. 32. Ortiz L. 8. Jansen K. 15. Arko-Mensah E. 7. Bauque C. 19. Lopez M.
Substitutes
5. Da Graca K. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 10. Lingman L. 29. Olusanya A. 78. Ramula A. (G) 23. Soiri P.	11. Krebs F. 17. Laine L. 16. Muzinga J. 26. Naamo D. 12. Paunio R. (G) 48. Ulundu V. 9. Wurtz J.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Vasara V.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HJK won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Honka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently HJK have a series of home games.

In this match HJK is a favorite.

Last 32 head-to-head matches HJK won 13 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 48-40.

Including matches at home between the teams HJK won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.09.23	SJK - HJK	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	HJK - PAOK	2:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.09.23	HJK - Inter Turku	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	HJK - Farul Constanța	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTW
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	SJK - Honka	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	KTP Kotka - Honka	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Honka - Ilves	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
23.08.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.07.23	Honka - HJK	1:1
Finnish Cup
30.05.23	HJK - Honka	1:2 penalties
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.23	HJK - Honka	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
18.02.23	HJK - Honka	4:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
29.09.22	Honka - HJK	3:1
11.09.22	Honka - HJK	1:2
02.04.22	HJK - Honka	1:0

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