Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)

Referee: Mantere J. (Fin)


	Honka		SJK

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.35	3.9
	2.03	3.47	4.03
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.04	3.38	3.68	Watch
	2.04	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.73)	3.3 ↓ (3.7)	3.72 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
46.6%

Draw
28.3%

SJK
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

27.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Honka's form might have worsened.

SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SJK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Honka - SJK Predictions

Users Predictions: Honka will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 2.

Recent matches Honka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SJK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Honka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Honka won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.23	HJK - Honka	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Hammarby - Honka	2:2 ✺
10.03.23	Honka - Kristiansund	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Honka - Bryne	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTWT
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.23	SJK - Haka	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.03.23	SJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	SJK - TPS	3:2 ✺
08.03.23	HJK - SJK	2:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
25.02.23	Ilves - SJK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.10.22	SJK - Honka	0:0
10.07.22	SJK - Honka	3:2
25.04.22	Honka - SJK	5:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.22	SJK - Honka	0:1 penalties
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.21	SJK - Honka	3:2
29.05.21	Honka - SJK	0:1
21.08.20	SJK - Honka	0:2

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