Match Info

FINLAND: SUOMEN CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	Honka		IFK Mariehamn

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.45	4	6.5
	1.51	4.11	6.9
	1.44	3.7	6
	1.51	4.15	6.5
	1.53	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)	3.98 ↑ (3.68)	6.14 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
61.9%

Draw
23.1%

IFK Mariehamn
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honka's performance.

IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Honka - IFK Mariehamn Predictions

Users Predictions: Honka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (C) 15. Arko-Mensah E. 4. Baak F. 7. Bauque C. 13. Eremenko R. 23. Hernandez A. 11. Krebs F. 19. Lopez M. 26. Naamo D. 20. Rale M. 9. Wurtz J.	81. Henriksson E. (G) 41. Anini S. 13. Coubronne J-C. 22. Granlund A. 32. Heyden J. 10. Hopcutt J. 20. Kotsopoulos K. 2. Lahti T. (C) 18. Olawale M. 17. Sid R. 23. Sumusalo M.
Substitutes
24. Banahene N. 88. Koskinen O. 17. Laine L. 16. Muzinga J. 3. Ojala J. 32. Ortiz L. 12. Paunio R. (G)	9. De 30. Hautamo O. (G) 44. Ndom A. 8. Ngamba A. 11. Ngueukam A. 28. Nissinen J. 6. Sallinen O.
Coaches
Vasara V.	Norrmen D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 2.

Honka is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mariehamn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Honka is a favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Honka won 11 matches, drawn 15 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.08.23	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Honka - Inter Turku	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Lahti - Honka	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Honka - Oulu	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Honka - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWT
- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.08.23	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	4:2 ✺
30.07.23	IFK Mariehamn - Inter Turku	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.08.23	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	0:1
07.06.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	2:1
Club Friendly
30.03.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.01.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.07.22	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1
18.04.22	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	1:1
02.10.21	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1

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