Match Info

NSW League One - Round 21

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Hakoah Sydney City East		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	3.9
	1.75	4.17	3.94
				Watch
	1.7	3.7	4
	1.64	4.05	4.16
	1.62	3.94	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	4.08 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hakoah Sydney City East
54.5%

Draw
23.2%

Mounties Wanderers
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hakoah Sydney City East has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hakoah Sydney City East's performance.

Mounties Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mounties Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hakoah Sydney City East than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hakoah Sydney City East that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mounties Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hakoah Sydney City East - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation)).

Hakoah Sydney is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mounties Wanderers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hakoah Sydney is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hakoah Sydney won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hakoah Sydney City East
Australian NSW League One
21.06.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - University of New South Wales	4:3 ✺
14.06.25	Canterbury Bankstown - Hakoah Sydney City East	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Rydalmere Lions	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	SD Raiders - Hakoah Sydney City East	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Dulwich Hill	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTLWW
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
21.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Rydalmere Lions	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	University of New South Wales - Mounties Wanderers	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Northern Tigers - Mounties Wanderers	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Canterbury Bankstown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
15.03.25	Mounties Wanderers - Hakoah Sydney City East	1:0

Hakoah Sydney City East - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide