Match Info

NSW League One - Round 19

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	University of New South Wales		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	3.9
	1.6	4.05	4.15
	1.58	4.46	4.65
				Watch
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.56	4.25	4.5
	1.6	4.05	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.34)	4.09 ↓ (5)	4.23 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of New South Wales
56.3%

Draw
22.2%

Mounties Wanderers
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

17.5%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that University of New South Wales's form might have worsened.

Mounties Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mounties Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for University of New South Wales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mounties Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

University of New South Wales - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation)).

UNSW is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mounties Wanderers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mounties Wanderers has had a series of home games.

In this match, UNSW is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UNSW won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NSW League One
07.06.25	University of New South Wales - Newcastle Jets U23	1:4 ✺
24.05.25	University of New South Wales - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Northern Tigers - University of New South Wales	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	University of New South Wales - Bankstown City Lions	3:1 ✺
06.05.25	SD Raiders - University of New South Wales	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTWW
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
07.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Northern Tigers - Mounties Wanderers	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Canterbury Bankstown	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bulls Academy	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Hills United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
01.03.25	Mounties Wanderers - University of New South Wales	0:0

University of New South Wales - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide