Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Halesowen Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.37	4.6	6.6
	1.37	4.95	6.48
	1.42	4.85	6.44
	1.35	4.6	7.23
	1.37	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.62)	4.68 ↑ (3.4)	6.64 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
66.7%

Draw
19.5%

Hitchin Town
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

26.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Halesowen Town's performance.

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Halesowen Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Halesowen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hitchin has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hitchin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Halesowen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Halesowen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Halesowen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.09.24	Alvechurch - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Banbury United - Halesowen Town	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Halesowen Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Halesowen Town	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWTWW
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Hitchin Town - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
26.08.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
17.08.24	AFC Telford United - Hitchin Town	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.04.24	Hitchin Town - Halesowen Town	0:1
04.11.23	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	1:3
09.03.19	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	0:0
15.12.18	Hitchin Town - Halesowen Town	5:1

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