The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Halesowen Town 56.5%
Draw 23.9%
Hitchin Town 19.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.1%
24.9%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
23.9%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Halesowen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Halesowen Town's performance.
Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Silva V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Breen J. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Cowley J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 20th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halesowen won 2.
Halesowen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hitchin is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hitchin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Halesowen is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Halesowen has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Halesowen against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.3:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Halesowen
12
6
2
4
16:18
-2
20
15
Hitchin
14
3
4
7
16:20
-4
13
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
Halesowen: 1.53% Hitchin: 0.76%
Last Results with these Odds
Halesowen Town - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.