Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Halesowen Town		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.82	3.45	3.45
	1.8	3.68	3.58
	1.86	3.92	3.61	Watch
	1.76	3.6	3.5
	1.77	3.62	3.73
	1.84	3.50	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
49.7%

Draw
24.9%

Leamington
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Halesowen Town - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Finn K. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Belmonte K. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Hewett S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Cowley J. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Cowley J. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 19th in the Relegation).

Halesowen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Leamington has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Halesowen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Halesowen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Halesowen has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Halesowen against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16:18	-2	20
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19:26	-7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Halesowen Town - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Evesham United - Halesowen Town	0:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.26	Racing Club Warwick - Halesowen Town	5:1 ✺
17.10.26	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Kettering Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTT
- Leamington
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.26	Rushall Olympic - Leamington	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Leamington - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Leamington - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Stratford Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Leamington - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
30.03.24	Leamington - Halesowen Town	1:0
15.08.23	Halesowen Town - Leamington	0:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Halesowen Town - Leamington	0:1

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