The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Halifax Town 63.3%
Draw 21.7%
Fylde 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
26.6%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
25.8%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Halifax Town's performance.
Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Halifax Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fylde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.9%
11.4%
5.7%
Halifax Town - Fylde Predictions
Users Predictions:
Halifax Town will win
(29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 27. Alimi-Adetoro A. 11. Capello A. 10. Cooke J. 6. Evans J. 3. Galvin R. 30. High S. 23. Pugh T. 5. Senior A. 15. Smith W. 9. Thomas L.
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 4. Davis H. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 7. Jolley C. 20. Massey G. 18. McFayden L. 8. Mitchell E. 40. Riley J. 21. Roberts T. 17. Whelan C.
Substitutes
26. Bray O. 2. Cummings J. 21. Emmerson Z. 12. Ford N. (G) 20. Jenkins J. 14. Sutcliffe H. F. 7. Wright M.
14. Bardell M. 15. Hugill W. 6. Long A. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 30. Tweedy T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Roberts T. ⚽, McFayden L. (A),
24', Alimi-Adetoro A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Cooke J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Roberts T. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Haughton N. ⚽,
56', Thomas L. ↓, Wright M. ↑,
56', Pugh T. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
68', Alimi-Adetoro A. ↓, Emmerson Z. ↑,
75', Hosannah B. J. ↓, Bardell M. ↑,
75', Haughton N. ↓, Hugill W. ↑,
80', Mitchell E. 🟨,
84', Massey G. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
88', High S. 🟨,
90+4', Capello A. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
90+4', Winterbottom B. 🟨,
90+8', Jolley C. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Halifax won 1.
Recent matches Halifax is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fylde is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Halifax have a series of guest games.
Recently Fylde have a series of home games.
In this match Halifax is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Halifax won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.3:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Halifax won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).