Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 27

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	DAZN


	Fylde		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.67
	4.1	3.7	1.65
	4.33	4	1.7
	4.7	3.97	1.69
	4.51	3.95	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.7
	4.45	3.88	1.67
	4.33	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.12)	3.9 ↑ (3.67)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
21.1%

Draw
23.8%

Oldham Athletic
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

25.4%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

25.9%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Fylde - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 10. Haughton N. 15. Hugill W. 7. Jolley C. 20. Massey G. 18. McFayden L. 8. Mitchell E. 5. Obi E. 21. Roberts T. 17. Whelan C.	1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 34. Leake J. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 4. Pett T. 16. Raglan C. 15. Rossiter J. 18. Waters B.
Substitutes
4. Davis H. 23. Hosannah B. J. 6. Long A. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 40. Riley J.	13. Dennis J. (G) 27. Hammond O. 5. Hobson S. 11. Kay J. 21. Sutton W. 22. Worthington M. 28. Yoganathan V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Leake J. 🟨,
32', Massey G. 🟨,
32', Winterbottom B. 🟨,
35', Hugill W. 🟨,
40', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Whelan C. ⚽,
61', Hugill W. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
82', Lundstram J. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
90', Monthe M. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
90+6', Bardell M. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
90+6', Waters B. ↓, Worthington M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Oldham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oldham is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fylde won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
28.01.25	Southend United - Fylde	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Fylde - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Maidenhead United - Fylde	4:1 ✺
26.12.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Solihull Moors - Fylde	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Oldham Athletic
English National League Cup
29.01.25	Oldham Athletic - Manchester United U21	0:5 ✺
English National League
25.01.25	Gateshead - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Oldham Athletic - York City	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.25	Eastleigh - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.08.24	Oldham Athletic - Fylde	1:1
29.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Fylde	1:3
24.10.23	Fylde - Oldham Athletic	3:0
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Fylde - Oldham Athletic	2:1

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