Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Halifax Town

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.3
	2.58	3.6	2.42
	2.69	3.95	2.35
	2.84	2.74	2.79	Watch
	2.6	3.48	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.43)	3.45 (3.45)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
34.9%

Draw
27%

Halifax Town
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gateshead - Halifax Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Halifax (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 7. Adom K. 32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 3. Ferguson D. 18. Grayson J. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 20. John F. 26. Pani C. 5. Richardson K.	1. Johnson S. (G) 17. Bray O. 11. Capello A. 23. Crowe D. 31. Devonport O. 8. Hmami J. 5. Hobson S. 30. Johnson C. 22. Kawa D. 16. Mills J. 27. Turner-Cooke J.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 10. Butterfield J. 6. Flint W. 13. Leech P. (G) 16. Lowery L. 14. Nouble F. 31. Williams B.	3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 10. Cooke J. 12. Ford N. (G) 9. Harris W. 4. Hugill W. 20. Jenkins J. 36. Latty-Fairweather T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Hmami J. (Pen),
11', Richardson K. 🟨,
20', Crowe D. ↓, Cooke J. ↑,
32', Hobson S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Adom K. (Pen),
37', 1 - 1, Turner-Cooke J. (Pen),
41', Mills J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', John F. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Kawa D. ⚽, Devonport O. (A),
64', Bray O. ↓, Hugill W. ↑,
70', Home J. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
70', Chapman H. ↓, Lowery L. ↑,
81', Kawa D. ↓, Latty-Fairweather T. ↑,
81', Johnson C. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
81', Devonport O. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
82', John F. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
86', Ferguson D. ↓, Butterfield J. ↑,
86', Pani C. ↓, Flint W. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 0.

Recent form of Gateshead has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Halifax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Halifax has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 0 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Gateshead - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Halifax Town - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League Cup
17.09.25	Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Woking - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- FC Halifax Town
English National League
13.09.25	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
09.09.25	Halifax Town - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
06.09.25	Southend United - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Halifax Town - Woking	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Halifax Town - Yeovil Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.01.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:3
20.08.24	Halifax Town - Gateshead	1:1
16.12.23	Gateshead - Halifax Town	0:2
28.08.23	Halifax Town - Gateshead	0:0
English FA Trophy
21.05.23	Halifax Town - Gateshead	1:0
English National League
07.03.23	Gateshead - Halifax Town	0:0
13.09.22	Halifax Town - Gateshead	2:0

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