Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hertha Berlin		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.52
	2.61	3.65	2.72
	6.82	3.91	1.51	Watch
	2.53	3.61	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.75)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
30.7%

Draw
27.6%

Paderborn
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

25%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24.5%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Hertha Berlin - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hertha (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Paderborn (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Paderborn (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Paderborn (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 31. Dardai M. 42. Zeefuik D. 23. Eichhorn K. 5. Jensen L. 22. Winkler M. 10. Cuisance M. 9. Kownacki D. 11. Reese F. (C)	41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 20. Gotze F. (C) 25. Scheller T. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 26. Klaas S. 27. Tigges S.
Substitutes
2. Eitschberger J. 17. Gronning S. 13. Heide K. (G) 14. Krattenmacher M. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 3. Rogel A. 18. Schuler L. 8. Sessa K. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D.	9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L. 6. Engelns L. 42. Krumme K. 30. Marino S. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Castaneda S. 🟨,
34', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽,
45+3', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gechter L. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
46', Jensen L. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
47', Eitschberger J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. (Pen),
60', Eichhorn K. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
60', Winkler M. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
64', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
64', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
78', Kownacki D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
79', Tigges S. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
79', Castaneda S. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
86', Sessa K. 🟨,
90+5', Bilbija F. ↓, Muller R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hertha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Demme D. (Head Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Karbownik M. (Ankle Injury) Klemens P. (Ankle Injury) Kolbe N. (Broken rib) Seguin P. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Kinsombi D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Hertha: Eichhorn K. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Hannover - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Preußen Münster - Hertha Berlin	0:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTWT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Paderborn - Bochum	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.01.25	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	1:2
03.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	1:2
05.04.24	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	2:3
28.10.23	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	3:1
German Bundesliga
15.02.20	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	1:2
21.09.19	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	2:1
05.04.15	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	2:0

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