Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
World	Onefootball app


	Hamburger SV		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.46	4.8	6
	1.47	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.46	5	6.5
	1.49	4.81	5.81	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6	Watch
	1.48	4.8	5.95	Watch
	1.47	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)	4.78 ↓ (4.9)	5.94 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
64.4%

Draw
19.7%

Preußen Münster
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

18.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Hamburger SV - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 30. Hefti S. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Muheim M. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 8. Elfadli D. 23. Meffert J. (C) 45. Balde F. 17. Karabec A. 10. Pherai I. 9. Glatzel R.	1. Schenk J. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 16. Paetow T. 29. Frenkert L. 2. Kirkeskov M. 8. Mees J. 20. Hendrix J. 32. Bazzoli L. 18. Lorenz M. 30. Amenyido E. 9. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
3. Heyer M. 33. Katterbach N. 12. Mickel T. (G) 47. Oliveira N. 6. Poreba L. 13. Ramos G. 14. Reis L. 20. Richter M. 27. Selke D.	26. Behrens M. (G) 25. Bolay L. 11. Deters T. 24. Koulis N. 7. Kyerewaa D. 14. Makridis C. 28. Nemeth A. 21. Preissinger R. 15. Scherder S.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Hildmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽, Balde F. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Elfadli D. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽, Konigsdorffer R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 1, Paetow T. ⚽, Lorenz M. (A),
62', Pherai I. ↓, Reis L. ↑,
62', Elfadli D. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
62', Glatzel R. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Heyer M. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
72', Mees J. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
72', Lorenz M. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
72', Amenyido E. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
73', Balde F. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
73', Karabec A. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
83', Hendrix J. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
83', Grodowski J. ↓, Deters T. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Hamburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Münster has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hamburg is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.24	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Meppen - Hamburger SV	1:7 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hamburger SV - Aris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWT
- Preußen Münster
German DFB Pokal
27.08.24	Preußen Münster - Stuttgart	0:5 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.24	Preußen Münster - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Preußen Münster - Hannover	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Preußen Münster	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Mainz - Preußen Münster	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL

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