Match Info

League One - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Hamilton Academical		Clyde

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.35
	2.2	3.43	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.11	3.1	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.84)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
42.8%

Draw
28.2%

Clyde
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamilton Academical's form might have worsened.

Clyde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clyde than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clyde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hamilton Academical - Clyde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 5. Smutek K. 30. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 19. Simpson E. 15. Newbury C. 27. McKinstry S. 16. MacDonald K. 7. O'Hara K. 9. Shaw O.	12. Hogarth J. (G) 23. Hynes D. 5. Howie C. 15. Dunachie L. 3. Robson T. 27. Murdoch A. (C) 6. Cuddihy B. 14. McGinlay A. 16. Connell K. 11. Redfern M. 9. Williamson S.
Substitutes
8. Cameron F. 14. Crookston G. 20. Forrest C. 18. Morgan L. 17. Shiels D. 51. Stafford N. (G) 12. Syme M.	4. Campbell S. 25. Cannon N. 24. Connolly L. 22. Fleming K. 10. Hilton J. 1. Kinnear B. (G) 8. Leitch R. 17. Niang M. 7. Scullion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Smutek K. (Own goal),
18', 1 - 1, Gallacher T. ⚽, Simpson E. (A),
21', 2 - 1, MacDonald K. ⚽, Shaw O. (A),
35', O'Hara K. 🟨,
43', Connell K. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Connell K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cuddihy B. ↓, Fleming K. ↑,
52', 3 - 2, MacDonald K. ⚽,
59', 3 - 3, Dunachie L. ⚽, Connell K. (A),
65', 4 - 3, Gallacher T. ⚽,
73', Redfern M. ↓, Leitch R. ↑,
81', McGinlay A. ↓, Cannon N. ↑,
85', Williamson S. 🟨,
90+1', Simpson E. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Hamilton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Clyde has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamilton could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, Hamilton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Clyde: 13.79% Hamilton: 13.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
12.05.26	Clyde - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Hamilton Academical - Forfar Athletic	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Forfar Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLW
- Clyde
Scottish League One
12.05.26	Clyde - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Spartans - Clyde	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Clyde - Spartans	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
02.05.26	East Kilbride - Clyde	5:0 ✺
25.04.26	Clyde - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
12.05.26	Clyde - Hamilton Academical	1:1
Scottish League Cup
15.07.23	Clyde - Hamilton Academical	1:3
Scottish Challenge Cup
10.01.23	Hamilton Academical - Clyde	3:2
Scottish League Cup
17.07.19	Clyde - Hamilton Academical	1:3
Club Friendly
07.07.18	Clyde - Hamilton Academical	2:0

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