Match Info

League One - Round 36

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Accies TV


	Inverness		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.38	4.65	6.7
	1.43	4.53	8.42
	1.48	4.09	6.73	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.38	4.2	7.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	4.31 ↑ (4.08)	7.11 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
65.5%

Draw
21.5%

Hamilton Academical
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Inverness - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hamilton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 2. Millen R. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 12. Robertson M. 19. Stewart A. 7. Allan P. 10. Wotherspoon D. 8. Mackinnon A. 36. Bavidge A. 9. McKay B.	41. Lane J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 5. Smutek K. 4. Kilday L. (C) 30. Gallacher T. 27. McKinstry S. 19. Simpson E. 15. Newbury C. 7. O'Hara K. 16. MacDonald K. 9. Shaw O.
Substitutes
22. Alonge J. 20. Brannan B. 18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 3. MacIntyre O. 14. MacLeod C. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 23. Zimba C.	45. Cameron F. 21. Crookston G. 20. Forrest C. 33. Hendrie S. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 51. Stafford N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Devine D. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, McKay B. ⚽,
45+4', Devine D. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Bavidge A. 🟨,
68', Simpson E. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
72', Mackinnon A. ↓, MacLeod C. ↑,
77', Hutton Z. 🟨,
80', McKay B. ↓, Zimba C. ↑,
80', Wotherspoon D. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
84', Kilday L. ↓, Hendrie S. ↑,
84', Smutek K. ↓, Shiels D. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, O'Hara K. ⚽,
90+4', Shaw O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Inverness has had a series of away games.

In this match, Inverness is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
25.04.26	East Fife - Inverness	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Peterhead - Inverness	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.04.26	Raith Rovers - Inverness	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWWTL
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
25.04.26	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
14.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	0:1
13.12.25	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	4:0
04.10.25	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	3:1
Scottish Football Championship
18.05.24	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	2:3
15.05.24	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1
18.04.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	1:2
21.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1

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