The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forfar Athletic 29.8%
Draw 29.6%
Hamilton Academical 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.4%
26.1%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
23.3%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forfar Athletic's performance.
Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamilton Academical might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forfar Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamilton Academical could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
10%
40%
Forfar Athletic - Hamilton Academical Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Forfar will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Hamilton will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Forfar: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Lynas A. 6. Dolzanski J. 4. Morrison S. 22. Bright S. 14. Mailer A. 8. Slater C. 26. Alston B. 9. Shepherd S. 19. Sutherland J. 10. Rennie M.
41. Lane J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 5. Smutek K. 4. Kilday L. 30. Gallacher T. 27. McKinstry S. 15. Newbury C. 19. Simpson E. 7. O'Hara K. 9. Shaw O. 16. MacDonald K.
Substitutes
5. Allan M. 25. Haddow A. 7. MacLean R. 21. Munn M. (G) 11. Pasnik T. 17. Richardson J. 3. Strachan M. 16. Whatley M. 24. Wilson C.
45. Cameron F. 21. Crookston G. 20. Forrest C. 33. Hendrie S. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 51. Stafford N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, MacDonald K. ⚽, Shaw O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, Shaw O. ⚽, McKinstry S. (A),
75', Alston B. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
75', Rennie M. ↓, Haddow A. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Shaw O. ⚽, O'Hara K. (A),
77', McKinstry S. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
81', Slater C. 🟨,
86', Newbury C. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
90+2', Simpson E. ↓, Forrest C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Shepherd S. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
Forfar is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Hamilton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Hamilton is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forfar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Including home match between the teams, Forfar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
United-kingdom
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McCallum M. (G) 
Smutek K. 
Munn M. (G) 
Pasnik T. 
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