Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, SPFL Player


	Hamilton Academical		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.50
	1.32	4.60	7.25
	1.30	4.60	7.50	Watch
	1.43	4.55	7.80
	1.41	4.59	7	Watch
	1.41	4.00	7.70
	1.35	5.25	8.50	Watch
	1.32	4.70	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.58 ↓ (4.71)	7.61 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
67.8%

Draw
20.1%

Peterhead
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

19.7%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

18.5%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hamilton Academical have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Hamilton Academical - Peterhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lyness D. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Smutek K. 3. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 8. MacDonald K. 6. Blues C. 17. Bannigan S. 7. Thomas D. 29. Ryan A. 27. McKinstry S.	31. Hepburn C. (G) 2. Strachan D. 4. Graham A. 5. Brown J. (C) 7. Keir L. 8. McCarthy A. 6. Yule B. 18. To Z. 21. Forrest D. 9. Megginson M. 11. Dunne C.
Substitutes
28. Black B. 10. Bradley S. 21. Crookston G. 24. Eadie A. 12. Lane J. (G) 14. McGinlay A. 18. Morgan L. 11. Orsi K. 5. Owens F.	3. Davies-Browne T. 46. Kerr J. 10. Mcluckie B. 1. Newman J. (G) 22. Ross S. 24. Searle J. 17. Smith C. 15. Stokes J. 34. Tekle R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', McKinstry S. 🟨,
32', Megginson M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Gallacher T. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Yule B. ⚽,
64', Megginson M. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
66', Thomas D. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽, Bradley S. (A),
74', To Z. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
74', Keir L. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
79', Strachan D. ↓, Searle J. ↑,
81', Smutek K. ↓, Owens F. ↑,
87', McKinstry S. ↓, Orsi K. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs and 8th).

Hamilton has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Peterhead have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Hamilton as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hamilton in today's match, at odds of 1.34.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hamilton has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:5 (averaging 2.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hamilton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09% Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Hamilton Academical - Kilmarnock 2	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Hamilton Academical - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Spartans - Hamilton Academical	0:4 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Peterhead
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Peterhead - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
22.09.26	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	0:2 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	East Kilbride - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Peterhead - Clachnacuddin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
11.07.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	0:1
Scottish League One
25.04.26	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:1
17.01.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	2:3
08.11.25	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:0
13.09.25	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	2:2

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