Match Info

League One - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player


	Hamilton Academical		Forfar Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.1
	1.58	4.05	4.85
	1.61	4.1	5.37
	1.59	4.75	4.33	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.55	3.96	4.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.26)	4.17 ↓ (5.75)	4.73 ↓ (8.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
58.3%

Draw
22.2%

Forfar Athletic
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

15.9%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamilton Academical's form might have worsened.

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forfar Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

Hamilton Academical - Forfar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 5. Smutek K. 4. Kilday L. (C) 30. Gallacher T. 27. McKinstry S. 15. Newbury C. 19. Simpson E. 7. O'Hara K. 16. MacDonald K. 9. Shaw O.	1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Lynas A. 5. Allan M. 4. Morrison S. (C) 22. Bright S. 14. Mailer A. 8. Slater C. 25. Haddow A. 26. Alston B. 19. Sutherland J. 9. Shepherd S.
Substitutes
45. Cameron F. 21. Crookston G. 20. Forrest C. 33. Hendrie S. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 51. Stafford N. (G) 34. Syme M.	6. Dolzanski J. 15. Lemon M. 7. MacLean R. 21. Munn M. (G) 11. Pasnik T. 10. Rennie M. 17. Richardson J. 3. Strachan M. 24. Wilson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Alston B. ↓, Rennie M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Shaw O. ⚽, McKinstry S. (A),
67', Mailer A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
71', Simpson E. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
71', McKinstry S. ↓, Hendrie S. ↑,
71', Slater C. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
71', Shepherd S. ↓, Dolzanski J. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Shaw O. ⚽, Hutton Z. (A),
77', Newbury C. ↓, Forrest C. ↑,
79', Lane J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Sutherland J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Crookston G. 🟨,
85', O'Hara K. 🟨,
86', Shaw O. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
86', Kilday L. ↓, Syme M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Hamilton is considered a favorite.

We predict that Hamilton will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09% Forfar Athletic: 1.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
05.05.26	Forfar Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hamilton Academical - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW
- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League One
05.05.26	Forfar Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
02.05.26	Annan Athletic - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Forfar Athletic - Edinburgh City	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Forfar Athletic - East Kilbride	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
05.05.26	Forfar Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:3
Scottish League Cup
16.07.22	Forfar Athletic - Hamilton Academical	0:3

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