Match Info

Premiership - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)

Referee: Lee R. (Sco)


	Motherwell		Livingston

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3.85	4.83
	1.67	3.96	4.94	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.68	3.76	4.85	Watch
	1.71	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	4.76 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
55.4%

Draw
24.8%

Livingston
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Motherwell - Livingston Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Motherwell will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ward C. (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 16. McGinn P. (C) 4. Gordon L. 22. Koutroumbis J. 12. Fadinger L. 20. Watt E. 21. Just E. 18. Maswanhise T. 9. Stamatelopoulos A. 77. Charles-Cook R.	28. Prior J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 19. Finlayson D. 27. Wilson D. (C) 26. Montano C. 15. Smith L. 25. Tait M. 8. Pittman S. 7. Susoho M. 17. May S. 39. Yengi T.
Substitutes
66. Hendry C. 45. Longelo E. 31. Matty Connelly (G) 25. Priestman O. 28. Ross L. 90. Said I. 8. Slattery C. 7. Sparrow T. 57. Welsh S.	18. Bokila J. 30. Brenet J. 10. Carey G. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 5. McGowan R. 9. Muirhead R. 22. Shinnie A. 24. Sylla M. 16. Winter A.
Coaches
Askou J.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Watt E. ⚽,
39', Charles-Cook R. 🟨,
40', Pittman S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Montano C. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Stamatelopoulos A. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
61', May S. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
61', Montano C. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
69', Pittman S. ↓, McGowan R. ↑,
69', Tait M. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
70', Smith L. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
70', Koutroumbis J. ↓, Longelo E. ↑,
70', Watt E. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
71', Just E. ↓, Slattery C. ↑,
86', McGowan R. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Longelo E. ⚽, Charles-Cook R. (A),
89', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Said I. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 5.

Motherwell is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Livingston is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Motherwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Motherwell is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Motherwell: McGhee J. (Thigh Injury) Nicholson S. (Knee Injury) Oxborough A. (Hand Injury) Robinson Z. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stuparevic F. (Knee Injury) Sule E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S. (Calf Injury) Denholm A. (Hamstring Injury) Montgomery A. (Calf Injury) Sylla M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Motherwell: Halliday A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Livingston: Kerr C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
03.12.25	Falkirk - Motherwell	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Motherwell - Hearts	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Aberdeen - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTWWT
- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
30.11.25	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Livingston	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Falkirk - Livingston	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Livingston - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Livingston - Motherwell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
25.10.25	Livingston - Motherwell	1:2
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Motherwell - Livingston	2:1
Scottish Premier League
04.05.24	Motherwell - Livingston	4:1
28.02.24	Livingston - Motherwell	1:3
30.12.23	Motherwell - Livingston	3:1
07.10.23	Livingston - Motherwell	2:0
24.05.23	Livingston - Motherwell	1:1

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