Match Info

National League South - Round 43

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Hampton & Richmond Borough		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.5
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.61	3.35	2.61
	2.55	3.28	2.55
	2.5	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.12)	3.34 ↓ (3.53)	2.57 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hampton & Richmond Borough
36.7%

Draw
27.6%

Welling United
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hampton & Richmond Borough's form might have worsened.

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Welling United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hampton & Richmond Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Siziba Z. ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, Siziba Z. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Gardner H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 4 - 0, Gardner H. ⚽,
75', 5 - 0, Vilhete M. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hampton & Richmond won 1.

Hampton & Richmond has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Welling is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hampton & Richmond won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:21 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hampton & Richmond won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
05.04.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	0:5 ✺
29.03.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
18.03.25	St Albans City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Salisbury - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Welling United
English National League South
05.04.25	Welling United - Hornchurch	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Chesham United - Welling United	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Welling United - Worthing	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Farnborough - Welling United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.01.25	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3
19.03.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1
30.01.24	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1
25.04.23	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0
08.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1
15.03.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	2:1
26.10.21	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3

Upcoming Matches