Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 39

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Farnborough		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.81	3.75	3.85
	1.82	4.01	3.55
	1.8	3.98	3.9
	1.83	3.77	3.87
	1.81	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	3.8 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
51.3%

Draw
24.4%

Welling United
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farnborough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farnborough - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Redfearn J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Macarthur M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, Stuttle J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 2.

Recent matches Farnborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Welling is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Welling could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Farnborough is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
11.03.25	Farnborough - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Slough Town - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Farnborough - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Worthing - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTLWW
- Welling United
English National League South
08.03.25	Truro City - Welling United	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Welling United - Slough Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Welling United	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Chippenham Town - Welling United	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Welling United - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.08.24	Welling United - Farnborough	4:1
05.03.24	Farnborough - Welling United	1:0
07.10.23	Welling United - Farnborough	2:2
07.03.23	Farnborough - Welling United	0:0
06.12.22	Welling United - Farnborough	1:2
19.02.13	Welling United - Farnborough	2:0
15.09.12	Farnborough - Welling United	0:3

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