Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 29

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Welling United		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.6	3.35	2.5
	2.56	3.25	2.63
	2.7	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.62	3.4	2.42
	2.6	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.71)	3.34 ↓ (3.57)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
35%

Draw
27.6%

Hemel Hempstead Town
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

24.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	38.5%	46.2%

Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Welling will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Hemel Hempstead will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemel Hempstead: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
77', 0 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Kamara S. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, White J. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 2.

Recent matches Welling is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hemel Hempstead is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Welling won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:22 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
15.03.25	Farnborough - Welling United	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Truro City - Welling United	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Welling United - Slough Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Welling United	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Chippenham Town - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLT
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
15.03.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
10.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hornchurch	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.09.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	4:2
27.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:2
12.08.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
28.02.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
20.08.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	2:3
26.02.22	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
23.10.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:1

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