Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 40

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.65
	4.2	3.9	1.71
	4.54	3.89	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.7
	3.98	4.19	1.73
	4.2	3.9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↓ (4)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
21.8%

Draw
23.7%

Worthing
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Welling United - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Kennedy G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Kennedy G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 1.

Welling has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Worthing is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Worthing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Welling won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.5:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
18.03.25	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Farnborough - Welling United	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Truro City - Welling United	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Welling United - Slough Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Welling United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
15.03.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
10.03.25	Aveley - Worthing	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Worthing - Chesham United	3:0 ✺
04.03.25	Worthing - Bath City	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.10.24	Worthing - Welling United	1:0
20.02.24	Welling United - Worthing	4:1
05.09.23	Worthing - Welling United	2:0
07.01.23	Worthing - Welling United	3:2
13.08.22	Welling United - Worthing	2:4
Club Friendly
27.07.21	Worthing - Welling United	5:1

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