Match Info

National League South - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Hampton & Richmond Borough		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.53
	4.75	4.25	1.55
	4.63	4.38	1.57
	4.65	4.53	1.58	Watch
	4.75	4	1.57
	4.75	4.25	1.53
	4.5	4.33	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (4.87)	4.26 ↑ (4.11)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hampton & Richmond Borough
19.7%

Draw
21.5%

Worthing
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hampton & Richmond Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Grego-Cox R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hampton & Richmond won 1.

Hampton & Richmond is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Worthing's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hampton & Richmond won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hampton & Richmond won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hampton & Richmond: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11:24	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.37%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
24.01.26	Salisbury - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:1 ✺
26.12.25	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
24.01.26	Bath City - Worthing	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Worthing - Horsham	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Salisbury - Worthing	5:4 ✺
03.01.26	Worthing - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.11.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0
29.03.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0
31.08.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	2:3
01.04.24	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0
24.10.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	4:1
01.01.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	0:0
26.12.22	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:3

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