Match Info

National League South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Salisbury		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.65	4.05	1.58
	4.52	4.4	1.61	Watch
	4.5	4	1.62
	4.61	3.94	1.59
	4.5	4.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.67)	4.13 ↑ (3.82)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
20.2%

Draw
22.3%

Worthing
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.9%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Salisbury - Worthing Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salisbury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Jenks T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Coppin N. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Willard T. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 3 - 2, Coppin N. ⚽,
54', 3 - 3, Spong J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 4 - 3, Keeya J. ⚽,
73', 4 - 4, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 4, Hedges J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

In recent matches, Salisbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Worthing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salisbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Salisbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 56.64%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salisbury - Totton	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bath City - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Farnborough - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
03.01.26	Worthing - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Worthing - Farnborough	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gloucester City - Worthing	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.09.25	Worthing - Salisbury	2:0
22.02.25	Worthing - Salisbury	3:2
03.12.24	Salisbury - Worthing	0:2

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