Match Info

National League South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.75	1.7
	4.59	4.07	1.66
	4.45	4	1.68	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.67
	4.47	3.68	1.66
	4.5	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.99)	3.84 ↓ (3.86)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
20.8%

Draw
24%

Worthing
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

23.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Bath City - Worthing Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jenkins-Davies W. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 0, Bowman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 2 - 1, Jenks T. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Jenkins-Davies W. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Godziemski O. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 0.

Bath is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Worthing's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Worthing is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
17.01.26	Dover Athletic - Bath City	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Bath City - Southend United	1:3 ✺
English National League South
30.12.25	Bath City - Torquay United	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Chippenham Town - Bath City	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bath City - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
17.01.26	Worthing - Horsham	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Salisbury - Worthing	5:4 ✺
03.01.26	Worthing - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.08.25	Worthing - Bath City	1:1
04.03.25	Worthing - Bath City	2:1
29.10.24	Bath City - Worthing	0:2
24.03.24	Worthing - Bath City	2:2
28.10.23	Bath City - Worthing	0:2
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Worthing - Bath City	2:0
English National League South
11.03.23	Worthing - Bath City	2:3

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