Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Hamiti E. (Alb)


	Hamrun Spartans		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.53	Watch
	5	3.75	1.58
	5	3.65	1.57
	5	3.8	1.65
	4.79	4.3	1.63
	5.25	4.1	1.6	Watch
	5.6	4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.6)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
18.1%

Draw
23.9%

Ferencvárosi
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.3%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

24.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	3.1%	87.5%

Hamrun Spartans - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marchetti F. (G) 10. Mbong J. 4. Borg S. (C) 91. Emerson M. 27. Bjelicic O. 14. Elionay 12. Prsa R. 17. Nenov Y. 94. Camenzuli R. 98. Jonny 30. Paintsil S.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Mmaee S. 27. Cisse I. 99. Ramirez C. 18. Siger D. 7. Ben Romdhane M. 15. Abu Fani M. 16. Zachariassen K. 19. Varga B. 20. Traore A.
Substitutes
77. Attard S. 69. Bilic K. 28. Corbalan J. 24. Debono M. (G) 25. Eder 42. Krstic N. 7. Montebello L. 31. Tom (G) 5. Xerri S. 19. Zerafa J.	22. Abena M. 30. Barath P. 14. Gojak A. 55. Katona B. 4. Knoester M. 50. Marquinhos 10. Nguen T. C. 62. Ori L. (G) 11. Owusu 23. Paszka L. 1. Varga A. (G) 31. Wingo H.
Coaches
Zauri L.	Mate C.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches Hamrun is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferencvárosi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamrun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Dinamo Tbilisi - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
25.07.23	Hamrun Spartans - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Maccabi Haifa - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Hamrun Spartans - Maccabi Haifa	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
06.08.23	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Shamrock Rovers - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
27.07.23	Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Ferencvárosi - KÍ Klaksvík	0:3 ✺
11.07.23	KÍ Klaksvík - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLT

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