The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamrun Spartans 58.2%
Draw 22.8%
Paola Hibernians 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
22.1%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
20.8%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Paola Hibernians aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 10th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 3.
Hamrun has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hibernians has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Hamrun carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hamrun against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
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