Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 19

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Hamrun Spartans		Sliema Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.45
	1.88	3.3	4.25
	1.77	3.37	4.44	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.82	3.38	4.26
	1.83	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	4.2 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
50.5%

Draw
27.8%

Sliema Wanderers
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

The ML Model estimate for Hamrun Spartans aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Celio (G) 7. Attard S. 27. Bjelicic O. 31. Bulevardi D. 94. Camenzuli R. 24. Ceter D. 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 10. Mbong J. (C) 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri	25. Agu E. (G) 17. Bah M. 2. Borg J. 15. Gustavo Alcino 31. Murilo Henrique 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S. (C) 9. Plut V. 12. Prsa R. 93. Thiaguinho 20. Wescley
Substitutes
1. Bonello H. (G) 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 25. Ederson 47. El Fanis M. 91. Emerson 23. Hili K. 49. Jonny 3. Micallef N. 5. Xerri S.	18. Agius E. 22. Al Tumi R. (G) 77. Awad M. 6. Belfiore J. F. 4. Cauchi K. 5. Frendo N. 1. Lauri F. (G) 95. Marcelo Santos 10. Montebello L. 8. Siaw S. 21. Strickland N.
Coaches
Modica G.	Doffo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
28', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prsa R. ↓, Agius E. ↑,
57', Attard S. ↓, Jonny ↑,
65', Plut V. ↓, Marcelo Santos ↑,
65', Gustavo Alcino ↓, Awad M. ↑,
71', Bulevardi D. ↓, Ederson ↑,
71', Mbong J. ↓, Emerson ↑,
80', Pisani S. ↓, Frendo N. ↑,
80', Bah M. ↓, Montebello L. ↑,
90+3', Rafael Compri ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
90+3', Celio 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Ceter D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 2.

Hamrun is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sliema Wanderers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hamrun is considered a favorite.

We predict that Hamrun will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hamrun	6	3	1	2	9:6	3	10
7	Sliema	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hamrun Spartans - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Fgura United	5:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
24.01.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWW
- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
25.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	1:0 ✺
06.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Swieqi United	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
10.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	1:0
05.10.25	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	2:0
27.04.25	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	1:1
13.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
Maltese FA Trophy
05.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0
Maltese Super Cup
13.12.24	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0
Maltese Premier League
29.11.24	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	1:1

Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide