The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sliema Wanderers 47.4%
Draw 28.4%
Żabbar St. Patrick 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
24.8%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
23.5%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sliema Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Żabbar St. Patrick's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sliema Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sliema Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Żabbar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sliema Wanderers: 15.4% – 84.6%.
22. Al Tumi R. (G) 18. Agius E. (C) 17. Bah M. 2. Borg J. 10. Montebello L. 31. Murilo Henrique 7. Overend A. 9. Plut V. 12. Prsa R. 93. Thiaguinho 20. Wescley
1. Colombo I. (G) 9. Cejas P. 77. Etim A. 89. Fontanella M. 5. Forte M. 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 33. Mayron 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R. (C)
Substitutes
25. Agu E. (G) 6. Belfiore J. F. 27. Djuric D. 94. Fernandinho 5. Frendo N. 15. Gustavo Alcino 1. Lauri F. (G) 14. Nwoko K. 70. Pisani S. 8. Siaw S. 21. Strickland N.
11. Agius N. 3. Bonnici M. 26. Carabott S. 17. Dalli C. 99. Djalo M. (G) 24. Eviparker T. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 16. Micallef J. 20. Micallef L. 23. Polidano Z.
Coaches
Doffo P.
Parisi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Leonardi Z. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
69', Montebello L. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Prsa R. ⚽,
73', Forte M. ↓, Im Y. W. ↑,
73', Etim A. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
79', Scicluna K. 🟨,
79', Borg J. 🟨,
81', Leonardi Z. ↓, Eviparker T. ↑,
84', Agius E. ↓, Pisani S. ↑,
89', Fernandinho ↓, Frendo N. ↑,
90+1', Scicluna R. 🟨,
Preview
Recent form of Sliema Wanderers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Żabbar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sliema Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sliema Wanderers is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Sliema Wanderers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.