The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sliema Wanderers 40.3%
Draw 28.8%
Marsaxlokk 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.9%
28.9%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
28.5%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Sliema Wanderers - Marsaxlokk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 77. Awad M. 4. Camara D. 29. Cojocaru I. 28. Drobarov V. 11. Gambarte B. 15. Gustavo Alcino 17. Limbombe A. 40. Polley R. 23. Satariano A. 10. Teuma T.
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 8. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 4. El Hasni O. 9. Linden R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E. 33. Simkus D. 17. Smajlagic S.
Substitutes
30. Alli W. M. 20. Brincat Winters E. 27. Grima G. 33. Hijazi U. 18. Kouadio C. 31. Lauri F. (G) 3. Micallef N. 13. Naudi J. 70. Pisani S. 9. Robertha N. 5. Zammit D.
14. Attard E. 24. Caruana L. 23. Caruana T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 7. Christie-Davies I. 10. Dodo 15. Galea N. 20. Garcia M. 16. Karamitsios G. 26. Maniscalco M. 3. Weder
Coaches
Nisevic B.
Potenza V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Camara D. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Smajlagic S. ⚽,
38', Teuma T. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Drobarov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Satariano A. 🟨,
57', Smajlagic S. ↓, Dodo ↑,
57', Simkus D. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
72', Gambarte B. ↓, Pisani S. ↑,
72', Awad M. ↓, Alli W. M. ↑,
77', Minala J. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
86', Limbombe A. ↓, Robertha N. ↑,
87', Muscat N. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
87', El Hasni O. ↓, Weder ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Teuma T. ↓, Kouadio C. ↑,
90+2', Garcia M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Marsaxlokk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sliema Wanderers has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sliema Wanderers has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sliema Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Marsaxlokk
10
5
2
3
16:14
2
17
3
Sliema
10
5
2
3
14:13
1
17
Last Results with these Odds
Sliema Wanderers - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 37.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Bonello H. (C) 
Awad M. 
Camara D. 
Cojocaru I. 
Drobarov V. 
Gambarte B. 
Gustavo Alcino 
Limbombe A. 
Polley R. 
Mafoumbi C. (G) 
El Hasni O. 
Linden R. 
Minala J. 
Simkus D. 
Smajlagic S. 
Alli W. M. 
Kouadio C. 
Robertha N. 
Christie-Davies I. 
Dodo 
Nisevic B. 
Potenza V. 
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