The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Floriana 69%
Draw 20.6%
Żabbar St. Patrick 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
22.2%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
21.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floriana's performance.
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żabbar St. Patrick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floriana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żabbar St. Patrick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions
Users Predictions:
Floriana will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Grech J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Agius N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mendonca I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Etim A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Chico Teixeira (Penalty Awarded),
4, Forte M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Areias R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Micallef J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Floriana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Żabbar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Floriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Floriana has had a series of home games.
Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
In this match, Floriana is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Floriana - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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