Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grech E. (Mlt)


	Floriana		Żabbar St. Patrick

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.10	5.25
	1.49	3.95	5.1
	1.55	3.95	5.85
	1.49	4.01	5.9	Watch
	1.53	3.55	5.75
	1.59	4.04	4.92
	1.52	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	3.96 ↓ (4.03)	5.45 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
60.1%

Draw
23.1%

Żabbar St. Patrick
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Floriana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 16. Chapi 9. Dervisagic K. 4. Kauan 14. Kurtalic A. 8. Mbong P. 90. Odey S. 17. Spiteri O. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.	30. Mohorovic P. (G) 33. Agyeman A. 2. Brucic K. 18. Gouhon P. F. 15. Jovicic M. 22. Leonardi Z. 71. Melillo T. 16. Micallef J. (C) 8. M'Mombwa C. 32. Moriceau T. 29. Vinicius Kanu
Substitutes
99. Attard D. 25. Cassar G. 6. Drina A. 11. Muric R. 88. N Dri A. C. 27. Newell Z. 80. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 86. Shchepetkin N. 10. Varela F.	11. Agius N. 39. Callus A. 77. Ellard A. 70. Fenech K. 89. Fontanella M. 91. Kacaj L. (G) 7. Lancioni N. 1. Leon S. (G) 4. Magri S. 17. Pisani J. 23. Polidano Z.
Coaches
Portela D.	Sormani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Moriceau T. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Beerman M. ⚽,
40', Micallef J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Jovicic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Kauan ↓, Drina A. ↑,
56', Moriceau T. 🟨,
56', Melillo T. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
61', Dervisagic K. ↓, Muric R. ↑,
76', Odey S. ↓, N Dri A. C. ↑,
78', Jovicic M. ↓, Lancioni N. ↑,
81', Gouhon P. F. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
81', Vinicius Kanu ↓, Fontanella M. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 10th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).

Żabbar is Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out ).

In recent outings, Floriana has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Żabbar has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Floriana as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Floriana has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:2 (averaging 2:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Floriana against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Floriana	10	4	4	2	22:14	8	16
10	Zabbar ✔	10	3	2	5	12:16	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Floriana - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
22.10.26	Birkirkara - Floriana	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Floriana - Mosta	3:3 ✺
11.10.26	Floriana - Balzan	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Paola Hibernians - Floriana	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTTWL
- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
21.10.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 ✺
17.10.26	Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Birkirkara	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
01.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Floriana	0:3
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 penalties
Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1
02.02.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0
28.08.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Floriana	0:3

Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick