Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena (Hannover)

Referee: Brych F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hannover		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.4	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.55	4
	1.81	3.75	4.79
	1.78	3.5	4.33
	1.79	3.78	4.3	Watch
	1.81	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)	3.68 ↓ (3.68)	4.39 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
52.9%

Draw
25.7%

Sandhausen
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Hannover - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Hannover has the most likely position - 11 (17.17%), project points - 41, currently - 31, a very small chance of relegated (4%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (62%), project points - 30, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 22, importance 31, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hannover won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Hannover is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hannover won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hannover won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
Club Friendly
24.03.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.03.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hannover	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Hannover - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Greuther Fürth - Hannover	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Hannover - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTL
- SV Sandhausen
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Darmstadt - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.03.23	Sandhausen - St. Pauli	0:5 ✺
10.03.23	Kaiserslautern - Sandhausen	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Sandhausen - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Nürnberg - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.09.22	Sandhausen - Hannover	2:3
05.03.22	Sandhausen - Hannover	3:1
26.09.21	Hannover - Sandhausen	1:2
25.04.21	Sandhausen - Hannover	4:2
03.01.21	Hannover - Sandhausen	4:0
30.05.20	Sandhausen - Hannover	3:1
01.11.19	Hannover - Sandhausen	1:1

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