Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 13

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	St. Pauli		Hannover

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.25	Watch
	1.65	4	5	Watch
	1.63	4	4.75	Watch
	1.66	4.15	5.28
	1.67	4.15	5.28
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.63	4.05	4.95	Watch
	1.61	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	4.03 ↑ (3.91)	5.09 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
58%

Draw
23.4%

Hannover
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	5%	15%

St. Pauli - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 24. Metcalfe C. 10. Hartel M. (C) 23. Treu P. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.	1. Zieler R. (C) 5. Neumann P. 23. Halstenberg M. 4. Arrey-Mbi B. 20. Dehm J. 6. Kunze F. 8. Leopold E. 18. Kohn D. 11. Schaub L. 16. Nielsen H. 9. Tresoldi N.
Substitutes
19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 15. Sinani D. 6. Zoller S.	13. Christiansen M. 10. Ernst S. 24. Foti A. 34. Luhrs Y. 21. Muroya S. 29. Oudenne K. 40. Scott C. 32. Voglsammer A. 30. Weinkauf L. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Leitl S.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2.

St. Pauli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hannover is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Pauli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's St. Pauli to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 14 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
03.11.23	Elversberg - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	2:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Paderborn - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
05.11.23	Hannover - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Schalke 04 - Hannover	3:2 ✺
20.10.23	Hannover - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Bochum - Hannover	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.03.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
05.02.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0
23.07.22	Hannover - St. Pauli	2:2
20.02.22	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:3
11.09.21	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:0
Club Friendly
26.06.21	Hannover - St. Pauli	0:2
German 2 Bundesliga
16.05.21	St. Pauli - Hannover	1:2

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