Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: 96 Das Stadion (Hannover)

Referee: Rupert Y. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Hannover II		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.1
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.14	3.74	2.09	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.02	3.64	2.11	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.1 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover II
29.9%

Draw
25.8%

Erzgebirge Aue
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.3%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover II than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	15.4%	26.9%

Hannover II - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Hannover II will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Aue will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover II: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stahl T. (G) 17. Dammeier M. 5. Dominke L. 44. Wallner L. 3. Matsuda H. 27. Oudenne K. 16. Brandt K. 42. Westermeier B. 7. Abdullatif M. 37. Marino S. 9. Busch S.	1. Mannel M. (G) 21. Burghardt M. 4. Vukancic N. 23. Barylla A. 26. Jakob K. 13. Majetschak E. 20. Fabisch J. 29. Rosenlocher L. 8. Clausen M. 11. Sijaric O. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
6. Engelbreth N. 14. Frauendorf M. . Husser D. 24. Kalem R. 20. Meier N. 12. Quindt N. (G) 13. Sanne T. 8. Stepantsev N. 19. Videira J.	9. Bornschein R. 19. Hoffmann T. 18. Kallenbach W. . Kaps H. 25. Kips T. (G) 6. Lima Stacziwa N. 24. Nkansah S. 14. Tashchy B.
Coaches
Stendel D.	Hartel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Bar M. ⚽, Rosenlocher L. (A),
23', Abdullatif M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Marino S. ⚽, Abdullatif M. (A),
39', Wallner L. 🟨,
41', Burghardt M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Jakob K. 🟨,
59', Jakob K. 🟨,
61', Brandt K. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Brandt K. ⚽,
71', Sijaric O. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
74', Busch S. ↓, Sanne T. ↑,
74', Abdullatif M. ↓, Kalem R. ↑,
81', Brandt K. ↓, Engelbreth N. ↑,
82', Majetschak E. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
87', Clausen M. ↓, Kallenbach W. ↑,
90', Marino S. ↓, Husser D. ↑,
90', Oudenne K. ↓, Frauendorf M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Aue will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Hannover II: Gevorgyan M. (Injury)

There will not play in Aue: Ozkan C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hannover II: Danquah J. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hannover II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover II
German 3 Bundesliga
22.12.24	Hansa Rostock - Hannover II	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hannover II - Viktoria Köln	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Unterhaching - Hannover II	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Hannover II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Hannover II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:6 ✺
07.12.24	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Verl	2:5 ✺
24.11.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.08.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Hannover II	2:1

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