Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chertsey Town		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.20	4.33
	1.52	4.05	4.60
	1.56	4.26	4.64
	1.58	4.41	4.79	Watch
	1.54	4.20	4.55
	1.51	4.10	4.95
	1.56	4.20	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)	4.65 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
58.8%

Draw
21.6%

Chippenham Town
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

23.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

22.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chertsey Town's performance.

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Chertsey Town - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Miles F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Owusu N. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Casey E. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Wilson B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th in the Relegation).

Chertsey is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chippenham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chertsey may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chippenham has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Chertsey is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Chertsey has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Chertsey	13	5	5	3	27:20	7	20
22	Chippenham	12	2	3	7	11:25	-14	9

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Sheppey United - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Welling United - Chertsey Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Chichester City - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Chertsey Town - Malvern Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWTW
- Chippenham Town
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Cray Wanderers - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Evesham United - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	2:1 AET ✺
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
19.10.13	Chippenham Town - Chertsey Town	0:0

Chertsey Town - Chippenham Town