Match Info

Leumit League - Round 22

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Afula		Hapoel Hadera

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.92	3.1	2.25
	2.92	3.11	2.38
	2.99	3.23	2.35	Watch
	2.96	3.1	2.27
	2.85	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.6)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)	2.31 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
31.3%

Draw
29.2%

Hapoel Hadera
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hapoel Hadera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Afula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Hadera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Hadera (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Azulay Shlomy Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Afula is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Hadera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Afula won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Afula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Hadera - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Afula	3:3 ✺
12.01.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWTTT
- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.01.26	Hapoel Hadera - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Hadera	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Jaffa	3:2 ✺
12.01.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
05.01.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Hadera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
05.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1
11.05.18	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:0
09.01.18	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1
25.08.17	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Hadera	0:2

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