Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Superbet Arena - Giulesti (Bucharest)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport 255
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sky Sport Mix
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.8
	3.90	3.90	1.83
	4.2	3.7	1.88
	4.12	3.97	1.86
	4.05	4	1.82	Watch
	4	3.85	1.81
	4.11	4.02	1.86
	3.95	3.95	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.43)	3.92 ↑ (3.7)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
23.6%

Draw
24.4%

Dinamo Zagreb
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

25.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Dinamo Zagreb (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Hapoel Beer Sheva (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hapoel Beer Sheva (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.65) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dinamo Zagreb will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 3. Baltaxa M. 5. Amador P. 17. Forson A. 28. Yehoshua N. 9. Ahmed Z. 20. East J. 66. Zlatanovic I. 14. Malede Y.	24. Kotarski D. (G) 15. Galesic N. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 27. Misic J. (C) 21. Lisica M. 10. Stojkovic L. 80. Kacavenda L. 99. Orsic M. 11. Hoxha A.
Substitutes
45. Abu Rumi M. 13. Davidzada O. 11. Ganah A. C. 70. Joao Victor 8. Kanaan H. 15. Nachmias I. 36. Shani Y. (G) 90. Ugarriza A. 34. Wolff M. (G)	23. Almena I. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 17. Ivanusec L. 5. Kravtsov K. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Prevljak S. 25. Valincic M. 1. Zagorac D. (G) 8. Zajc M.
Coaches
Kozuch R.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Kacavenda L. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Hoxha A. ↓, Prevljak S. ↑,
64', Orsic M. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
69', Malede Y. ↓, Ganah A. C. ↑,
75', Forson A. ↓, Kanaan H. ↑,
75', East J. ↓, Abu Rumi M. ↑,
78', Lisica M. ↓, Almena I. ↑,
78', Stojkovic L. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
82', Amador P. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
82', Baltaxa M. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Superbet Arena - Giulesti.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hapoel Beer Sheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dinamo Zagreb has had a series of away games.

Dinamo Zagreb might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Biton D. (Heart Problems) Diop D. T. (Red Card) Levy R. (Off the roster) Peretz E. (Red Card) Stoyanov Y. (Off the roster)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Goda B. (Inactive) Mudrazija R. (Off the roster) Nevistic I. (Off the roster) Nsoki N. (Off the roster) Orlic B. (Injury) Rodriguez D. (Inactive) Stojakovic A. (Off the roster) Tabinas P. (Off the roster) Topic F. (Off the roster)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

H. Beer Sheva: 0.4%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	H. Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.09.26	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:4 ✺
02.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva	5:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTWL
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
12.09.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	4:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Bedem Ivankovo - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
05.09.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Viking Stavanger - Dinamo Zagreb	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
31.07.18	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2
24.07.18	Dinamo Zagreb - Hapoel Beer Sheva	5:0

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