Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Haladás Sportkomplexum (Szombathely)

Referee: Bandic A. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
Israel	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.1	4.1	Watch
	1.70	4.20	4.40
	1.72	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.73	4.04	4.08
	1.76	4.16	4.11	Watch
	1.65	4	4.05
	1.76	4.17	4.27	Watch
	1.74	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	4.08 ↑ (3.83)	4.18 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
54.5%

Draw
23%

Vikingur Reykjavik
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

27.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	17.1%	5.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Vikingur will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 63.2% – 91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 44. Diop D. T. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 3. Baltaxa M. 28. Yehoshua N. 25. Lucas Ventura 17. Kangwa K. 20. East J. 66. Zlatanovic I. 9. Ahmed Z.	29. Fridriksson A. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 6. Vatnhamar G. 9. Gudjonsson H. 10. Sigurdsson G. 11. Hafsteinsson D. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 19. Borgthorsson O. 21. Thrandarson A. 25. Ingimundarson V.
Substitutes
45. Abu Rumi M. 13. Davidzada O. 11. Ganah A. C. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan H. 21. Koren Y. 18. Levy R. 19. Ohana A. 7. Peretz E. 12. Rotman I. 27. Stoyanov Y. 34. Wolff M. (G)	7. Agnarsson E. 8. Andrason V. 24. Atlason D. 99. Audunsson U. (G) 69. Finnbogason A. 23. Hansen N. 30. Hauksson S. 18. Jonsson D. 47. Kristinsson O. (G) 77. Thordarson S. 2. Thorkelsson S.
Coaches
Kozuch R.	Ottesen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ibrahimagic T. ↓, Hauksson S. ↑,
15', Borgthorsson O. ↓, Thordarson S. ↑,
36', Diop D. T. ↓, Rotman I. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Vatnhamar G. 🟨,
57', Yehoshua N. ↓, Peretz E. ↑,
58', Lucas Ventura 🟨,
61', Fridriksson A. 🟨,
63', Hafsteinsson D. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Ahmed Z. ⚽, Mizrahi G. (A),
69', Peretz E. 🟨,
74', Thrandarson A. ↓, Andrason V. ↑,
74', Ingimundarson V. ↓, Jonsson D. ↑,
74', Hafsteinsson D. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
75', Baltaxa M. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
75', East J. ↓, Ganah A. C. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Ganah A. C. ⚽, Kangwa K. (A),
86', Zlatanovic I. 🟨,
90+3', (Penalty overturned),
90+5', Kangwa K. 🟨,
90+5', Marciano O. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Haladás Sportkomplexum.

Hapoel Beer Sheva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vikingur is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hapoel Beer Sheva has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hapoel Beer Sheva is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Beer Sheva - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.74%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Israeli Super Cup
16.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Omonia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTW
- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.07.26	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Győri ETO - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
07.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Győri ETO	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1

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