Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 19

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Bnei Araba		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	7.9	4.45	1.32
	7.57	4.72	1.34	Watch
	8.1	4.5	1.34
	7.5	4.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.77 ↑ (7.57)	4.54 ↓ (4.72)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Araba
11.7%

Draw
20%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

19.4%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18.5%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Araba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bnei Araba than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Hapoel Bnei Araba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maccabi Nazareth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Maccabi Nazareth is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Bnei Araba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Araba	5	0	1	4	2:14	-12	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Araba
Israeli Liga Alef North
30.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0 ✺
27.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Bnei Araba	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Araba	5:4 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTLL
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
30.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - MS Tira	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0
10.12.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Araba	1:1

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