Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.35	1.36
	7.13	4.96	1.33
	9.35	4.55	1.29
	7	4.75	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.6 ↑ (7.16)	4.65 ↑ (4.5)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
12%

Draw
19.5%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

20.1%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.4%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mwasi H. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Mwasi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

H Tirat HaCarmel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maccabi Nazareth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Maccabi Nazareth has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maccabi Nazareth is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
16.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:3 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLL
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Karmiel	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
27.12.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Haifa	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTWL

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