Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 15

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye		Hapoel Bnei Araba

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	3.85
	1.77	3.53	4.09	Watch
	1.77	3.5	3.98
	1.78	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.94)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	3.98 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
51.2%

Draw
26%

Hapoel Bnei Araba
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Hapoel Bnei Araba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Araba than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Araba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Baqa al-Gharbiyye (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baqa al-Gharbiyye (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Nassar A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Shalata U. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Klein G. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Darawsha M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 2 - 3, Shalata U. ⚽,
61', 3 - 3, Bonder O. ⚽,
66', 3 - 4, Hassan M. ⚽,
70', 4 - 4, Talhami F. ⚽,
90+6', 5 - 4, Adoui A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 13).

Recent performances by Baqa al-Gharbiyye have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Bnei Araba has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Baqa al-Gharbiyye has had a series of away games.

Baqa al-Gharbiyye will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ironi Baka	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
17	Araba	6	0	2	4	2:14	-12	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
15.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTTL
- Hapoel Bnei Araba
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
21.01.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Araba	0:0

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Araba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide